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JPMorgan warns of increased recession risk due to Trump's tariff policies

JPMorgan analysts have raised the risk of a global recession to 60% following President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs, which they describe as a significant tax increase on US imports. The tariffs, affecting numerous countries, could lead to higher consumer prices and economic disruption. While the potential for recession exists, the economists note that the US economy remains fundamentally strong and may withstand the shock if policies change.

barclays lowers s p 500 forecast amid economic concerns and tariffs

Barclays has cut its 2025 S&P 500 price target to 5,900 from 6,600, citing tariffs and worsening economic data. The bank downgraded its outlook on Consumer Discretionary and Industrials sectors to Negative, while upgrading Financials to Positive due to potential deregulation. Concerns about a recession are rising, with JPMorgan estimating a 40% probability, as major companies report weak demand and consumer confidence falters.
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